Research

Publications, datasets, and replication code for the LSR research programme.

Publications

Paper 1

The Law of Symbiotic Resilience: Node Cascading Collapse Framework

Published

SSRN →

Paper 2

The Sovereign Resilience Derivative

Published

SSRN →

Paper 3

The Bundled Resilience Bond

Published

SSRN →

Replication

$ Quick Start

git clone https://github.com/stevenbrandon88/LSR-NCC-Replication.git
cd LSR-NCC-Replication
python paper1_replication_v3.py

# Expected: 18/18 checks PASSED ✅

View on GitHub →

Datasets

Dataset	Records	Source
World Bank IEG Project Ratings	12,328 projects	IEG (Jan 2026)
ADB Success Rates (2018-2024)	1,084+ projects	ADB IED
Crisis Consequences Database	169 crises	Navigating Polycrisis 2023
Seshat Axial Age	428 observations	Turchin et al. 2018
AidData Chinese Development Finance	13,427 projects	William & Mary v2.0/v3.0
V-Dem Democracy Indices	19,678 rows	V-Dem v15
Worldwide Governance Indicators	205 countries	Kaufmann & Kraay 2025
FAOSTAT Agriculture/Food Series	Multiple	FAO
IMF World Economic Outlook	Global	IMF April 2025
ND-GAIN Vulnerability & Readiness	192 countries	Notre Dame

SSRN Author ID: 7801909 · All datasets CC BY 4.0